1992 marked the 40th anniversary of Elizabeth II's ascension
to the British throne. She had already
served almost three times as long as her farther, well on her way to being,
thus far, the second longest serving monarch in British history. She should have looked back on '92 with both
joy and satisfaction. She did not. For Elizabeth, 1992 was an Annus Horibilis, a
horrific year. Her daughter Anne
divorced. Her younger son Andrew was
separating from "Fergie", his fun loving wife. A tell-all book was published detailing the
affairs of Princess Dianna, the estranged wife of Crown Prince Charles. If that were not enough, a destructive fire
broke out at her beloved Windsor Castle.
2013 inaugurated Barack Obama's second term. After a decisive win in November, the
president might have expected a strong start.
Of course — and this isn't news — he experienced just the opposite. A combination of relentless and often vicious
mean-spirited rightist opposition coupled with a number of his own missteps resulted
in his Annus Horibilis. As the year
comes to the close, his poll numbers are the lowest of his presidency. Most troubling is that the confidence
Americans have had in him has badly eroded.
A December Pew/USA
poll showed that only 45% of Americans approve of his job performance. Even worse, according to Pew: "The
percentage viewing Obama as 'not trustworthy' has risen 15 points since January
– from 30% to 45%.
That lack of trust can in part be attributed to
Obama's erroneous claims that insured Americans could hold onto the policies
they liked. It is truly mystifying to me
that the president could have allowed himself to repeatedly make that claim and
that his "smart" staff didn't try to stop him from doing so. Didn't he know it was inaccurate, didn't they?
If nothing else, they should have been
aware of the fact that insurance is generally written for a single year and
that companies routinely change or even cancel individual policies, especially
those they deem unprofitable. More to
the point, the AFA specifically disallows policies that fail to meet minimum
standards — ones that are bad insurance or effectively no insurance at all. So, unlike what the president promised, not
everyone could keep their policies even if they are "happy" with
them.
Of, course while this misguided claim may have
tipped the trustworthy numbers, the inept
rollout overall did the core damage, a failing — or the ongoing perception of
failing — that keeps on giving. Before
getting to that, let me say that I believe the Affordable Care Act will go down
as one of Barack Obama's great achievements.
It won't be overturned and hopefully when the dust settles its real deficiencies,
and there surely are some, will be addressed constructively and hopefully corrected. Even then, will it fall short of what the
country really needs? Absolutely. Until we achieve universal healthcare —
Medicare for all — many Americans are likely to be seriously shortchanged. That said, the ACA is a major step forward
and its benefits should not be underestimated.
Think of just three transformative examples: disallowing denying
coverage because of pre-existing conditions, equalizing premiums for women and
men and eliminating lifetime caps. These
all translate into huge benefits — the first and last protecting many families
from the treat of losing life savings or even bankruptcy if a major extended
illness strikes.
From the day of its passage, Obama, one of our most
gifted presidential orators, has been unable to explain or properly sell the
Affordable Care Act to the nation. For
sure he has had to endure a constant barrage of political and interest groups
opposition, people who are working tirelessly and spending heavily to prevent
its success. Just as Regan discredited
liberalism by pejoratively calling it the L-Word,
Republicans dubbed the AFA Obamacare,
a branding aimed it discrediting it from the start — his personal overreaching
plan, not the law of the land. They followed
with a systematic and relentless campaign of misinformation. They created a mythology that has helped
confuse the public, often leading to negative views that objectively speaking
run counter to its own self-interest.
But all that doesn't excuse Obama and his
administration's deficiency. Considering
the importance of the ACA to their legacy, it's nothing less than astounding
(and maddening) that they so mismanaged the early rollout. Telling us that the website is not the
program is clearly the case. So, too, is
the fact that constructing a site of this complexity is bound to produce
startup glitches. But that isn't an excuse
for its complete opening days breakdown.
Not only weren't potential users properly cautioned, Obama predicted an
ease of use comparable to making purchases on Amazon or buying an airplane
ticket. Insurance is not a book, a
toaster or even booking a round trip flight.
The site has largely been fixed but the damage to the president and to this
important program remains.
It isn't only the ACA cockup that contributed to
Obama's Annus Horibilis. The Edward
Snowden affair, which exposed the extent of NSA surveillance, added greatly to
our discontent. Of course, Obama didn't
start these programs. As discussed in an
earlier post, their real origin can be traced back to the Cold War in the late
1940s and 50s. Moreover, every major
government around the globe that has the means and the will engages in various
forms of espionage, including cyber empowered eavesdropping. So, much of the global outcry has been
disingenuous to say the least. But the
revelations came on Obama's watch highlighting two important things. First is that, with his approval, the
seemingly overreaching surveillance initiated after 9/11 has continued
unabated. Second, and perhaps equally
important, Obama's campaign for the presidency, his record and (not
inconsequentially) our expectations of him suggested something quite different.
As with the ACA, perceptions play a significant role
here, but in just the opposite way. The
ACA is far better than the perception, but it turns out that the reality of the
NSA under Obama's watch falls far short of what we had perceived it would
be. With regard to Iraq, Afghanistan and
even Gitmo, we can somehow excuse action falling behind rhetoric by recognizing
that campaigning is different than governing.
Iraq took longer to exit as is Afghanistan and Guantanamo still hasn't
been closed. We may not like the
reasons, but can at least understand them.
The seemingly unchecked eavesdropping is something else entirely, not
the least for the fact that, unlike the other three, it directly impacts on all
of us and our daily lives.
Those of us who consider ourselves the President's
supporters are frustrated, perplexed and even infuriated by the inept rollout
of the ACA. We fear that if it isn't
quickly and, most importantly perceptibly, fixed early in 2014, it may tip the
balance in the Senate and effectively end any semblance of a meaningful Obama
presidency going forward. With regard to
the NSA revelations, even if they should not have come as a complete surprise
(as noted that earlier post), they leave many of us with a varying sense of outrage.
However great that may be for us
individually, we are left disheartened by the gap between the dream and, in
this instance, the reality of Barack Obama's presidency. We understand that Democrats, especially those
who lean somewhat left rather than right, have constantly to prove themselves
on national security. That may be
especially the case for those who have not served in the military. But it's not an excuse we can buy. We wanted more, expected more.
These frustrations and disappointments bring me to the
Annus Horibilis for Americans at large.
Of course, it hasn't been that bad a year for those at the top of the
American scale and that goes well beyond the 1%. The economy is recovering, housing prices have
firmed and the stock market is at all time highs. Of course that means the rich are richer, but
millions of others are seeing a rise in their retirement accounts and the value
of our homes. Unemployment is down which
means that some people who were out of work last January have found a job. New York City's incoming mayor campaigned on
a platform focused on the two Americas — one riding high, the other in or near a
deep hole. For the second group, and for
more of us than was the case not so long ago, 2013 was yet another year of
challenge. Incomes continue to stagnate
and they are falling further behind with each inadequate paycheck or no
paycheck at all. To borrow Michael Harrington's
term, the Other America may be
concerned about the ACA and the NSA, but survival takes precedence and that has
become more problematic for a larger swath of the citizenry.
So in some very important ways very many of us are bidding
farewell to an Annus Horibilis. But we dare
not let it get us down. There are some
hopeful signs on the horizon, or at least we should be making something out of
what went wrong this year — some lemonade out of the lemons. The ACA stumbled, but it has brought some
people into the class of insured and it has gotten us to talk about healthcare
and how to make it better. President
Obama is expected to make some, hopefully meaningful, changes in the NSA
program. And, while way overdue, there
seems to be a rising conversation about income inequality. Late in the year Obama forcefully spoke out
about the inequities, as did the new pope. In New York where so many things seem to be
going well — a strong post 9/11 recovery — an overwhelming majority opted for
the candidate who put economic inequality at the top of his agenda. We'll see how all this turns out, how it
translates from rhetoric into action.
It's not in my nature to be unhopeful.